Decisions, Games, & Logic Workshop

[e]

[e]

<style>

/*** LAYOUT ***/
 DIV { border: 0px; }
 #leftHand { 
    width: 100%;
    margin: 0px;
    color: #dfa; 
    background: #a90 url(imgs/stippleG.gif);
    text-align: center;
 }
 #leftHand A { color: #dfa;  font-weight: bold; }
 #links { padding: 4px; background: #339 url(imgs/stippleB.gif); color: #adf; font-size: 13px; font-weight:bold; }
 #links A { padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px; }
 #leftHand A { color: white; font: bold; }
 #barOne { background: #ff0 url(imgs/stippleB.gif); height: 5px; }
 #barTwo { background: red url(imgs/stippleW.gif); height: 3px; }
 #barThree { background: #00f url(imgs/stippleG.gif); height: 3px; }

#rightHand {
    width: 620px;
    margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;
    margin-bottom: 30px;
    text-align: left;
 }

/*** WORKINGS ***/
.editlink { position: absolute; }
.editlink { display: none; }
#rightHand div div .editlink  { display: inline; position: static; float: right; color: white; }
#rightHand div div .editlink A { color: #bbb; }
textarea { font-family: inherit; }

/*** STYLE ***/
 BODY, TD, P, TEXTAREA { font-family: verdana, arial, palatino linotype; font-size: 10pt; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; }
 TD { text-align: center; }
 #rightHand TD { vertical-align: center; text-align: left; }
 BODY {  }
 H2 {  }
 H3 { font-size: 10pt; }
 H4 { font-size: 10pt; background: #270; color: white; margin-left: -30px; margin-right: -30px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; }
 A { text-decoration: none; color: #009; }
 A:Hover { text-decoration: underline; }
 #michaelmasReading P, #lentReading P, #summerReading P { margin: 0px; }
 #rightHand LI { margin-bottom: 8px; }
 IMG { border: 0px; }
 #rightHand IMG { border: 1px solid black; }
 P { margin-top: 7px; }
 BLOCKQUOTE { margin-left: 12px; }
 #photos IMG { border: 3px black solid; }

/**** PRINT ****/
@media print {

}

</style>

[e]

London

Amsterdam

Lausanne

First Workshop in
Decisions, Games & Logic '07
July 18 - 20, 2007, London School of Economics (LSE)

HOME PHOTOS PROGRAMME { BRANDENBURGER , BRADLEY , VAN BENTHEM } CONTACT INTERNAL

<table cellpadding=10 cellspacing=10 width=200 style="float: right;"><tr><td>
<a href="http://www.lse.ac.uk"><img src="imgs/logoLSE.gif"><br>London</a>
</td><td>
<a href=""><a href="http://www.illc.uva.nl/"><img src="imgs/logoILLC.gif"><br>Amsterdam</a>
</td><td><a href="http://www.unil.ch/lhps/page31808.html"><img src="imgs/logoLHPS.gif"><br>Lausanne</a></td></tr></table>

<b>First Workshop in<br />
  <span style="font-size: 42px; font-family: book antiqua; color: #fff">Decisions, Games & Logic '07</span><br />
July 18 - 20, 2007, London School of Economics (LSE)</span>

<a href="./?body=photos">PHOTOS</a>

<a href="./?body=programme">PROGRAMME</a>

{ <a href="./?body=brandenburger">BRANDENBURGER</a> ,
<a href="./?body=bradley">BRADLEY</a> ,
<a href="./?body=vanBentham">VAN BENTHEM</a> }

<a href="./?body=contact">CONTACT</a>

<a href="./?body=internal">INTERNAL</a>

</div>

[e]

Richard Bradley: Bayesian Decision Theory

The tutorials will develop a unified Bayesian decision theory from which the theories of Savage, Jeffrey and others can be derived as special cases. The foundations of the theory lie in an account of rational preference for conditional prospects and the tutorials will cover some essential aspects of the logic and pragmatics of conditionals, before connecting these to role of hypothetical reasoning in decision making. Part of the tutorial will be devoted to a discussion of problems in the foundations of the "classics" (Ramsey, Savage, Jeffrey and Bolker), of which some basic knowledge will be assumed.

Handouts

Unified Decision Theory (PDF)
Bayesian Decision Theory (PPT)

Readings

Ramsey, FP 1926 Truth and Probability
Bradley, R 2004 Ramsey's Representation Theorem, Dialectica, 4:484-97
Bolker, ED 1967 A Simultaneous Axiomatization of Utility and Subjective Probability, Philosophy of Science, 34(4):333-40
Bradley, R 2005 Bayesian Decision Theory Unified, LSE Choice Group Working Paper Series

Biographical Note. Richard Bradley is Head of the Department of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method at the London School of Economics. He works on both individual and collective decision making, conditionals and hypothetical reasoning, and belief and preference revision.

<img src="imgs/bradley.jpg" style="float: right" />
<h2>Richard Bradley: Bayesian Decision Theory</h2>

<h3>Handouts</h3>
<ul>
  <li> <a href="./UnifiedD handouts.pdf">Unified Decision Theory</a> (PDF)
  <li> <a href="./Bayesian Decision Theory.ppt">Bayesian Decision Theory</a> (PPT)
</ul>

<h3>Readings</h3> 
<ul><li>Ramsey, FP 1926 <a href="http://socserv.mcmaster.ca/econ/ugcm/3ll3/ramseyfp/ramsess.pdf" target="_blank">Truth and Probability</a>
<li>Bradley, R 2004 <a href="http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1746-8361.2004.tb00320.x" target="_blank">Ramsey's Representation Theorem</a>, Dialectica, 4:484-97
<li>Bolker, ED 1967 <a href="http://www.jstor.org/view/00318248/ap010136/01a00050/0" target="_blank">A Simultaneous Axiomatization of Utility and Subjective Probability</a>, Philosophy of Science, 34(4):333-40
<li>Bradley, R 2005 <a href="http://www.lse.ac.uk/collections/CPNSS/projects/ChoiceGroup/PDF_files/Unification(T&D).pdf" target="_blank">Bayesian Decision Theory Unified</a>, LSE Choice Group Working Paper Series
</ul>

<br>
<b>Biographical Note.</b> <a href="http://www.lse.ac.uk/collections/philosophyLogicAndScientificMethod/WhosWho/staffhomepages/bradley.htm" target="_blank">Richard Bradley</a> is Head of the Department of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method at the London School of Economics. He works on both individual and collective decision making, conditionals and hypothetical reasoning, and belief and preference revision.